ELI5 Edition Discord Version Try the Political Version

False Cause

The Fallacy

Presuming that a real or perceived relationship between things means that one is the cause of the other.

Why it's wrong

Many people confuse correlation (things happening together or in sequence) for causation (that one thing actually causes the other to happen). Sometimes correlation is coincidental, or it may be attributable to a common cause.

Example

Every time I wear my lucky neon socks, the local football team wins. Clearly, the cosmic power of my socks is the only thing keeping their winning streak alive.