What the Fallacy?!
Wishful Thinking
The Definition
Forming political conclusions based on what represents a pleasing outcome rather than on hard evidence.
The Explanation
Campaigns often delude themselves with internally biased polling, believing they are winning simply because they desperately want to win.
Political Example
Despite trailing by 15 points in every independent poll, the campaign manager told the staff they were going to win in a landslide because 'the energy at the rallies feels so good.'